A US blockade of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint, currently does not exist. More critically, Donald Trump lacks presidential authority to initiate or rescind such a monumental geopolitical maneuver, and will not assume executive mandate before January 2025. Therefore, any announcement regarding the lifting of a hypothetical blockade by April 18, 2024, is a categorical impossibility. The base rate for an ex-president dictating US military policy is 0%. 100% NO — invalid if Trump assumes presidential powers before April 18, 2024.
