ETH trapped $60-80 below converged 50/200-day MAs at $2,361-67 resistance with only 4 hours to breach — consecutive ETF outflows ($131M Tuesday, $17M Monday) draining institutional bids while Fear & Greed sits at 40-42. Symmetrical triangle compression at $2,340 shows sellers defending $2,380-2,400 zone all week with zero sustained buyer follow-through. Macro overhang from CPI/Iran energy costs limits breakout probability. 4-hour chart structure deteriorating, no catalyst to reverse $2,425→$2,250 selloff before 12PM ET close. Downside bias toward $2,250-80 support. [68% NO — invalid if surprise macro headline triggers volatility spike]
