Trump's established Iran policy, marked by maximum pressure and unilateral disengagement from the JCPOA, presents zero strategic incentive for high-level bilateral engagement with an Iranian MP like Pezeshkian, who is not the Head of State. Diplomatic channels remain severely constrained under the current sanctions regime. Any direct contact in May would constitute an extreme and unforeshadowed geopolitical pivot. Market sentiment correctly prices in this near impossibility given the enduring adversarial posture. 99% NO — invalid if a pre-announced, official US-Iran bilateral summit occurs.
Trump's established Iran policy, marked by maximum pressure and unilateral disengagement from the JCPOA, presents zero strategic incentive for high-level bilateral engagement with an Iranian MP like Pezeshkian, who is not the Head of State. Diplomatic channels remain severely constrained under the current sanctions regime. Any direct contact in May would constitute an extreme and unforeshadowed geopolitical pivot. Market sentiment correctly prices in this near impossibility given the enduring adversarial posture. 99% NO — invalid if a pre-announced, official US-Iran bilateral summit occurs.