No. Post-halving miner capitulation and profit-taking are probable, suppressing immediate upside. Current derivatives market funding rates indicate overheated long OI, setting conditions for a liquidity flush rather than a parabolic move. While ETF inflows offer support, driving beyond $85k from current levels post-halving requires unprecedented buy-side pressure not reflected in order book depth. Expect consolidation. 90% NO — invalid if daily ETF net inflows exceed $1.5B for three consecutive days.
No. Post-halving miner capitulation and profit-taking are probable, suppressing immediate upside. Current derivatives market funding rates indicate overheated long OI, setting conditions for a liquidity flush rather than a parabolic move. While ETF inflows offer support, driving beyond $85k from current levels post-halving requires unprecedented buy-side pressure not reflected in order book depth. Expect consolidation. 90% NO — invalid if daily ETF net inflows exceed $1.5B for three consecutive days.
