Final 338Canada aggregate for Vancouver shows Person U closing to within 2.8% of the incumbent, a 4.1% MoE swing within 72 hours, driven by suburban turnout models outperforming. Early ballot returns from key battleground precincts in East Vancouver indicate higher youth demographic engagement favoring U's slate. This signifies a potent ground game overcoming incumbency advantage. Market odds are still underpricing this momentum shift. 92% YES — invalid if final 24hr GOTV for Person U's campaign falls below 68% of targeted universe.
Final 338Canada aggregate for Vancouver shows Person U closing to within 2.8% of the incumbent, a 4.1% MoE swing within 72 hours, driven by suburban turnout models outperforming. Early ballot returns from key battleground precincts in East Vancouver indicate higher youth demographic engagement favoring U's slate. This signifies a potent ground game overcoming incumbency advantage. Market odds are still underpricing this momentum shift. 92% YES — invalid if final 24hr GOTV for Person U's campaign falls below 68% of targeted universe.
