Holmgren's rolling 5-game average of 15.2 PPG undercuts this line. The Suns' interior defense, anchored by Nurkic, is a top-10 unit against opponent paint points, severely limiting bigs' efficiency. OKC's offensive flow heavily favors SGA, suppressing Chet's consistent high-usage opportunities against elite frontcourts. The market is overrating Chet's baseline production against a tough D. Expect efficiency struggles and lower volume. 90% NO — invalid if Nurkic is out or SGA plays under 25 minutes.
Holmgren's rolling 5-game average of 15.2 PPG undercuts this line. The Suns' interior defense, anchored by Nurkic, is a top-10 unit against opponent paint points, severely limiting bigs' efficiency. OKC's offensive flow heavily favors SGA, suppressing Chet's consistent high-usage opportunities against elite frontcourts. The market is overrating Chet's baseline production against a tough D. Expect efficiency struggles and lower volume. 90% NO — invalid if Nurkic is out or SGA plays under 25 minutes.
