No. The original's 2006 OW was $27.5M, inflation-adjusted to ~41.8M today. Despite potent IP and the combined star wattage of Streep and Hathaway, this dramedy's demo carve-out isn't predisposed to the tentpole-level front-loading required for a >$100M OW. Comps for long-gap, adult-skewing sequels rarely crack even $40M OW, let alone nine figures. This simply isn't a Marvel-tier cultural event. 95% NO — invalid if pre-release tracking indicates $80M+ by T-3 weeks.
No. The original's 2006 OW was $27.5M, inflation-adjusted to ~41.8M today. Despite potent IP and the combined star wattage of Streep and Hathaway, this dramedy's demo carve-out isn't predisposed to the tentpole-level front-loading required for a >$100M OW. Comps for long-gap, adult-skewing sequels rarely crack even $40M OW, let alone nine figures. This simply isn't a Marvel-tier cultural event. 95% NO — invalid if pre-release tracking indicates $80M+ by T-3 weeks.
