Lewisham's electoral data decisively rejects a Damali victory. The borough is a deep-red Labour stronghold, evidenced by the 2022 Mayoral results where Labour commanded 58.0% of first preferences against the Green candidate's 13.9%. This 44-point spread represents an insurmountable incumbency and party identification advantage. The supplementary vote system offers no realistic path for the Greens to bridge such a colossal primary vote deficit. Structural realignment is not in play here. 98% NO — invalid if Labour's primary vote drops below 20% due to an unforeseen catastrophic event.
Lewisham's electoral data decisively rejects a Damali victory. The borough is a deep-red Labour stronghold, evidenced by the 2022 Mayoral results where Labour commanded 58.0% of first preferences against the Green candidate's 13.9%. This 44-point spread represents an insurmountable incumbency and party identification advantage. The supplementary vote system offers no realistic path for the Greens to bridge such a colossal primary vote deficit. Structural realignment is not in play here. 98% NO — invalid if Labour's primary vote drops below 20% due to an unforeseen catastrophic event.
