RCP avg for Trump approval currently ~42%. A sustained April average below 38.5% demands a major exogenous shock not presently priced into models. His base's post-presidency floor remains highly resilient. 90% NO — invalid if severe criminal conviction before April 15.
RCP avg for Trump approval currently ~42%. A sustained April average below 38.5% demands a major exogenous shock not presently priced into models. His base's post-presidency floor remains highly resilient. 90% NO — invalid if severe criminal conviction before April 15.
