ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts consistently cap Tel Aviv's Tmax at 26°C for April 29. No significant thermal advection or anomalous insolation pattern suggests breaching 27°C. Stick to the model mean. 75% NO — invalid if HRES update shifts Tmax to ≥27°C.
ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts consistently cap Tel Aviv's Tmax at 26°C for April 29. No significant thermal advection or anomalous insolation pattern suggests breaching 27°C. Stick to the model mean. 75% NO — invalid if HRES update shifts Tmax to ≥27°C.
