GFS ensemble mean projects 26-28°C. Strong insolation and weak sea breeze advection favor thermal exceedance. Climatological average sits just below, creating a clear long edge. 80% YES — invalid if persistent stratocumulus deck forms.
GFS ensemble mean projects 26-28°C. Strong insolation and weak sea breeze advection favor thermal exceedance. Climatological average sits just below, creating a clear long edge. 80% YES — invalid if persistent stratocumulus deck forms.