GFS/ECMWF ensemble means converge on robust thermal advection. GFS 06z operational run indicates 20.5°C; ECMWF 00z projects 19.8°C. Strong high-pressure ridge ensures sufficient insolation. Models firm above 19°C. 95% YES — invalid if unexpected cold advection event.
GFS/ECMWF ensemble means converge on robust thermal advection. GFS 06z operational run indicates 20.5°C; ECMWF 00z projects 19.8°C. Strong high-pressure ridge ensures sufficient insolation. Models firm above 19°C. 95% YES — invalid if unexpected cold advection event.