GFS/ECMWF ensemble mean indicates a robust +3σ thermal anomaly. Strong anticyclonic flow drives warm advection, pushing isotherms to 25°C+. The signal for 24°C+ is unequivocal. 95% YES — invalid if frontal passage accelerates.
GFS/ECMWF ensemble mean indicates a robust +3σ thermal anomaly. Strong anticyclonic flow drives warm advection, pushing isotherms to 25°C+. The signal for 24°C+ is unequivocal. 95% YES — invalid if frontal passage accelerates.