ECMWF ensemble means project robust thermal advection under an expanding anticyclonic ridge, pushing Munich's daily max well above the 22°C threshold. GFS parallels, showing 850hPa temps driving surface highs consistently into the 23-25°C range on May 5th. Model consensus indicates strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, maximizing diurnal warming. High probability of breaching the specified mark. 90% YES — invalid if unforeseen cold front passes or persistent overcast conditions.
ECMWF ensemble means project robust thermal advection under an expanding anticyclonic ridge, pushing Munich's daily max well above the 22°C threshold. GFS parallels, showing 850hPa temps driving surface highs consistently into the 23-25°C range on May 5th. Model consensus indicates strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, maximizing diurnal warming. High probability of breaching the specified mark. 90% YES — invalid if unforeseen cold front passes or persistent overcast conditions.
