GFS ensemble mean projects +10°C 850hPa anomaly over Iberia. Persistent ridging and strong southerly advection ensure elevated surface temps. ECMWF aligns. 95% YES — invalid if major frontal passage.
GFS ensemble mean projects +10°C 850hPa anomaly over Iberia. Persistent ridging and strong southerly advection ensure elevated surface temps. ECMWF aligns. 95% YES — invalid if major frontal passage.