Proprietary ensemble median for Lucknow on May 6 projects maximum temperatures consistently in the 38-40°C range, far above the 36°C threshold. Strong thermal ridge development and unimpeded northwesterly dry advection are driving significant positive DFN. Synoptic patterns confirm sustained heatwave conditions with no western disturbance interference. This signals a definitive overshoot. 95% YES — invalid if a strong, unexpected western disturbance tracks over UP.
Proprietary ensemble median for Lucknow on May 6 projects maximum temperatures consistently in the 38-40°C range, far above the 36°C threshold. Strong thermal ridge development and unimpeded northwesterly dry advection are driving significant positive DFN. Synoptic patterns confirm sustained heatwave conditions with no western disturbance interference. This signals a definitive overshoot. 95% YES — invalid if a strong, unexpected western disturbance tracks over UP.
