Historical April maxima in Lucknow rarely breach 47°C. Current ECMWF/GFS long-range ensembles for Apr 28 indicate a high-40s thermal anomaly is an extreme outlier, not a central tendency. Ridge dominance isn't sufficient for 49°C. 85% NO — invalid if mid-tropospheric heat dome intensifies dramatically.
Historical April maxima in Lucknow rarely breach 47°C. Current ECMWF/GFS long-range ensembles for Apr 28 indicate a high-40s thermal anomaly is an extreme outlier, not a central tendency. Ridge dominance isn't sufficient for 49°C. 85% NO — invalid if mid-tropospheric heat dome intensifies dramatically.