ECMWF and GFS ensemble means project a robust mid-level ridge axis over North Texas, driving significant subsidence and warm air advection aloft. 850mb temperatures are forecasted to exceed +18°C, which, with ample diurnal surface heating and efficient boundary layer mixing under clear skies, makes 82-83°F highly attainable. The thermodynamic profile is optimized for this range. 95% YES — invalid if significant cloud cover or a pre-frontal trough develops unexpectedly.
ECMWF and GFS ensemble means project a robust mid-level ridge axis over North Texas, driving significant subsidence and warm air advection aloft. 850mb temperatures are forecasted to exceed +18°C, which, with ample diurnal surface heating and efficient boundary layer mixing under clear skies, makes 82-83°F highly attainable. The thermodynamic profile is optimized for this range. 95% YES — invalid if significant cloud cover or a pre-frontal trough develops unexpectedly.
