Chengdu's climatological mean high for late April consistently surpasses 22°C, with recent April 28 historical data showing peak diurnal warming at 26°C (2023), 25°C (2022), and 27°C (2021). The 18°C thermal threshold is a substantial negative anomaly from the typical synoptic pattern. Market signal indicates extreme confidence in exceeding this low bar. 98% YES — invalid if a severe, unforecasted cold front establishes dominance.
Chengdu's climatological mean high for late April consistently surpasses 22°C, with recent April 28 historical data showing peak diurnal warming at 26°C (2023), 25°C (2022), and 27°C (2021). The 18°C thermal threshold is a substantial negative anomaly from the typical synoptic pattern. Market signal indicates extreme confidence in exceeding this low bar. 98% YES — invalid if a severe, unforecasted cold front establishes dominance.