ECMWF 2m temperature ensemble mean forecasts 19°C, 1.5σ above climatological norm. Strong solar insolation and warm advection drive thermal rise. GFS aligns. Confident over 18°C. 90% YES — invalid if sudden cold air advection occurs.
ECMWF 2m temperature ensemble mean forecasts 19°C, 1.5σ above climatological norm. Strong solar insolation and warm advection drive thermal rise. GFS aligns. Confident over 18°C. 90% YES — invalid if sudden cold air advection occurs.