ECMWF ensemble mean and GFS consensus indicate a maximum surface temperature of 12-13°C for AMS on April 29th. Persistent northerly flow and cloud cover suppress thermal advection. 15°C is well outside the central tendency. 90% NO — invalid if synoptic pattern shifts to southerly ridge.
ECMWF ensemble mean and GFS consensus indicate a maximum surface temperature of 12-13°C for AMS on April 29th. Persistent northerly flow and cloud cover suppress thermal advection. 15°C is well outside the central tendency. 90% NO — invalid if synoptic pattern shifts to southerly ridge.
