Post-halving price action typically involves miner capitulation and consolidation, not an immediate +20% surge to new ATHs. While spot ETF netflows remain robust, the current demand aggregation on-chain suggests insufficient liquidity depth to decisively clear the 70k resistance and establish support at 76k-78k by May 7. Derivatives OI doesn't signal parabolic upside conviction for this tight timeframe. 80% NO — invalid if daily ETF net inflows exceed $1B for 3 consecutive days prior to May 5.
Post-halving price action typically involves miner capitulation and consolidation, not an immediate +20% surge to new ATHs. While spot ETF netflows remain robust, the current demand aggregation on-chain suggests insufficient liquidity depth to decisively clear the 70k resistance and establish support at 76k-78k by May 7. Derivatives OI doesn't signal parabolic upside conviction for this tight timeframe. 80% NO — invalid if daily ETF net inflows exceed $1B for 3 consecutive days prior to May 5.
