NO. Post-halving supply dynamics indicate initial miner capitulation and profit-taking, not immediate parabolic upside. Spot ETF net inflows have decelerated significantly, confirming institutional demand is cooling near current levels. The $84k-$86k range requires breaching the $73k ATH and triggering massive short liquidations, unsupported by current futures basis or aggregate open interest. Expect consolidation below $70k. 90% NO — invalid if daily Spot ETF inflows exceed $1B for three consecutive days prior to May 4th.
NO. Post-halving supply dynamics indicate initial miner capitulation and profit-taking, not immediate parabolic upside. Spot ETF net inflows have decelerated significantly, confirming institutional demand is cooling near current levels. The $84k-$86k range requires breaching the $73k ATH and triggering massive short liquidations, unsupported by current futures basis or aggregate open interest. Expect consolidation below $70k. 90% NO — invalid if daily Spot ETF inflows exceed $1B for three consecutive days prior to May 4th.