ETH grinding $2,304 after clean $2,425→$2,250 flush, pinned under 50/200MA convergence at $2,335-67—zero daily closes above all month. 29 bearish vs 2 bullish technicals, RSI 47 (no oversold bounce setup). Whale buys + ETF inflows bullish, but price action trumps: weekly close risk at $2,300, next support $2,211. CPI macro pressure persists, Trump-Xi binary risk. 68% NO—invalid if reclaims $2,320 with volume.
BTC at ~$80,500 rejected twice at $82k this week—technical resistance confirmed at target. Needs 2.1% rip in 3 days with funding rate at -0.0019% showing elevated shorts and Fear & Greed at 42-49 (neutral/fear zone). Hot CPI + BoA pushing cuts to H2 2027 = macro drag. Trump-China summit midweek injects vol but unlikely catalyst for breakout above tested ceiling. Bull structure intact (above MAs) but short-term momentum exhausted post-rejection. [72% NO — invalid if Iran escalation triggers flight-to-quality bid]
