A marginal upward shift is marginally more likely, primarily supported by recent on-chain analysis indicating a modest net accumulation of approximately 1,200 BTC by addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC over the past 60 minutes. Yet, this fragile market structure, characterized by significantly thin order book depth above current price levels, presents a clear asymmetric risk; a Minsky moment could easily trigger a rapid liquidation cascade, negating any gains and ushering in second-order sell-offs with minimal volume.