SOL sits at $84.17, bleeding 2.7% intraday with 7D drawdown at -11.5%. Price is underwater on all EMAs: 50D $87.90, 100D $93.26, 200D $108.51—classic bear structure. $85 support is cracking; next floor at $77.60-$75.63. 4H momentum shows falling MA convergence and TradingView signals 'sell' across multiple timeframes. Fear & Greed at 28 (Fear zone) while broader crypto sentiment at 25 (Extreme Fear)—typically contrarian buy territory, but short-duration bets favor continuation over reversal. ETF inflows ($100M cumulative, 11-day streak) are institutional DCA but haven't arrested the slide. $90 reclaim needed to flip short-term bias; $96 breakout required for trend change. In a 5-minute window (9:35-9:40 ET), mean reversion is statistically weak against this momentum profile. Flow data and tape structure point to sideways-to-down consolidation rather than V-bounce. 68% NO—invalid if SOL reclaims $85.50 with volume spike pre-close.
