ETH trading $2,304 into weekly close, sold daily from $2,425 open to $2,250 lows. Clean one-directional distribution all week. 50/200-day MAs converged at $2,367 — not a single daily close above it all month. That's your structural ceiling. Binance reserves spiked to 3.62M ETH (24.6% of total exchange inventory) — textbook supply overhang. CPI repricing knocked rate-cut probabilities, USD strength amplifying downside. 29 bearish vs 2 bullish technicals, RSI 47 with negative momentum. 4-hour window favors retest of $2,250-$2,280 zone. 72% NO — invalid if sudden macro catalyst breaks $2,367 resistance.
BTC stuck in $80.3K-$81K range, twice rejected at $82K resistance in last 48h. Fear index dropped from 71 to 50 week-over-week while CPI print yesterday pressured all risk-on. RSI divergence on 4H chart signals exhaustion. CLARITY Act vote tomorrow freezes directional conviction—smart money waits. Support at $80K holding but razor-thin margin in this 5-min window. Range compression + weak sentiment + macro headwind = fade any rip. 72% NO — invalid if sudden whale bid above $81.5K.
