SOL consolidating $92.90-$95.13 after +13% weekly run. ETF flows screaming: $39.23M weekly inflows—biggest since Feb—institutional reaccumulation signal. Futures OI spiked $6.35B from $4.83B (May 5), new positioning entering. Exchange net outflows 5 straight sessions = supply leaving exchanges, classic pre-breakout marker. MA structure intact: 50-day rising, daily timeframe buy-rated. Resistance $96-$97 thin—breakout probable on this momentum. Minor pullback risk to $94 support, but flow dynamics override technical indecision. [62% YES — invalid if SOL breaks $94 within window].
ETH sitting $60 below dual-MA resistance cluster at $2,367, failed to reclaim it all month. Week-long selloff from $2,425 to $2,250 shows one-directional selling with zero meaningful buyer absorption. CPI-driven macro shock pushed yields higher, DXY stronger — ETH absorbed 3x BTC's loss magnitude, revealing relative weakness. Fear & Greed collapsed from 71 to 50 in seven days, sentiment deterioration accelerating without capitulation flush that marks bottoms. 4H chart bearish, both MAs declining since early May, sellers defending $2,380-$2,400 zone on every test. No bullish divergence on RSI, no volume spike on dips. Market structure screams continuation lower into $2,150-$2,200 support before any reversal attempt. 72% NO — invalid if sudden macro reversal or BTC reclaims $105k.
