ETH stuck below $2,367 MA resistance all month, exchange inflows spiked 590K ETH (+4% reserves), Fear & Greed cratered 21pts to 50, 29 bearish vs 2 bullish technicals, whale dumping $1.35B to Binance. Clean selloff momentum $2,425→$2,250. Weekly close risk sub-$2,300 triggers cascade. [72% NO — invalid if sudden macro reversal or whale bid wall materializes].
$2,287 current price rejected $2,350 resistance all month. $131M ETF outflow yesterday, BlackRock dumped $102M. Fear index crashed 71→50 in 7 days. TradingView sell signal. Hot CPI macro drag pushes toward $2,250. 73% NO — invalid if surprise BTC rally drags alts.
BTC grinding at $80,300-$80,960 after repeated rejections at $82k—critical $80k floor is getting tested. CPI print at 3.8% yesterday killed rate cut narratives, removing liquidity tailwind. RSI divergence on 4hr chart flashing red while price consolidates near support—classic setup for breakdown. Fear & Greed at 42-49 shows no conviction, and geopolitical noise (Trump-China summit, Iran tensions) adds sell-side pressure. Next supports $79k then $77.5k if we crack this handle. Short-term momentum is heavy. 72% NO — invalid if $82k reclaim with volume.
